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In
an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 5th Congressional
District today, 09/02/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent
Democrat Tom Perriello 61% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV
poll conducted by SurveyUSA.
Compared to an identical
SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, little has changed; Hurt is up
a nominal 3 points; Perriello is flat. Hurt has increased his lead among
men, younger voters, independents, and lower-income voters, and now is at
or above 62% among each of those groups.
Perriello, who defeated 6-term Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in
2008, today is above 50% only among blacks, Democrats, moderates, liberals,
those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, and pro-choice
voters -- none of which are majority groups among likely voters in Virginia's
5th district.
Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 5th Congressional District
were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/31/10 through 09/01/10, using Registration
Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters,
581 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general
election for US House of Representatives.
- [Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would
you vote for? Republican Robert Hurt? Democrat Tom Perriello? Or Independent
Jeffrey Clark?
| 581 Likely Voters |
All |
Gender |
|
Age |
|
|
|
<50 / 50+ |
|
Race |
|
|
|
Party Affiliation |
|
|
Ideology |
|
|
Tea Party Movement |
|
|
|
College Grad |
|
Attend Religious Service |
|
|
Abortion |
|
Own a Gun? |
|
Income |
|
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% |
|
Male |
Female |
18-34 |
35-49 |
50-64 |
65+ |
18-49 |
50+ |
White |
Black |
Hispanic |
Asian/Ot |
Republic |
Democrat |
Independ |
Conserva |
Moderate |
Liberal |
Favorabl |
Unfavora |
Neutral |
No Opini |
Yes |
No |
Regularl |
Occasion |
Almost N |
Pro-life |
Pro-choi |
Yes |
No |
< $50K |
> $50K |
| Robert Hurt (R) |
61% |
62% |
60% |
60% |
71% |
54% |
62% |
67% |
57% |
66% |
21% |
** |
** |
89% |
15% |
66% |
85% |
40% |
18% |
90% |
17% |
72% |
51% |
53% |
68% |
61% |
63% |
58% |
77% |
42% |
66% |
51% |
64% |
59% |
| Tom Perriello (D) |
35% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
27% |
38% |
34% |
31% |
36% |
30% |
76% |
** |
** |
7% |
83% |
27% |
10% |
57% |
80% |
5% |
82% |
22% |
44% |
43% |
27% |
35% |
32% |
39% |
19% |
54% |
29% |
47% |
33% |
37% |
| Jeffrey Clark (I) |
2% |
2% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
4% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
1% |
** |
** |
2% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
| Undecided |
2% |
3% |
2% |
0% |
2% |
4% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
** |
** |
2% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
| Total |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters |
100% |
50% |
50% |
13% |
24% |
37% |
26% |
37% |
63% |
86% |
11% |
1% |
2% |
40% |
28% |
30% |
52% |
32% |
10% |
39% |
29% |
22% |
9% |
47% |
53% |
63% |
20% |
17% |
54% |
41% |
69% |
27% |
44% |
56% |
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| ** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be
meaningful. |
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